Porto Velho v Ceilândia: the model read
Porto Velho meet Ceilândia in the Serie D 1st phase - 7 at Estádio Aluízio Ferreira de Oliveira, Porto Velho, Rondônia. The model makes Porto Velho the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% POR, 28% draw, 24% CEI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Porto Velho, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Porto Velho on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Porto Velho at 67%; double chance reads Porto Velho or draw 76%, Ceilândia or draw 52%.
Porto Velho arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 17 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Gama, W 2-0 v Gama, D 1-1 v Sao Raimundo, D 1-1 @ Sao Raimundo.
Ceilândia are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Luverdense, L 1-2 v Luverdense, D 1-1 @ Mixto, D 1-1 v Goiatuba EC.
Ceilândia hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Ceilândia 3-0 Porto Velho.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
