Porto Velho v Aparecidense: the model read
Porto Velho meet Aparecidense in the Serie D 1st phase - 4 at Estádio Aluízio Ferreira de Oliveira, Porto Velho, Rondônia. The model makes Porto Velho the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 52% POR, 26% draw, 22% APA.
Porto Velho rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1443. Recent form leans Porto Velho, 63% against 43%. Attacking output favors Porto Velho on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Porto Velho at 70%; double chance reads Porto Velho or draw 78%, Aparecidense or draw 48%.
Porto Velho arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 17 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Gama, W 2-0 v Gama, D 1-1 v Sao Raimundo, D 1-1 @ Sao Raimundo.
Aparecidense are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Capital Brasilia, D 1-1 v Capital Brasilia, D 2-2 @ Gama, D 1-1 v Primavera MG.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Aparecidense 7-0 Porto Velho.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
