Chacaritas v Atlético Vinotinto: the model read
Chacaritas meet Atlético Vinotinto in the Liga Pro Serie B regular season - 17 at Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo, Pelileo. The model makes Atlético Vinotinto the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 20% CHA, 28% draw, 52% ATL.
Atlético Vinotinto rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Atlético Vinotinto, 57% against 33%. Attacking output favors Atlético Vinotinto on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Atlético Vinotinto at 72%; double chance reads Chacaritas or draw 48%, Atlético Vinotinto or draw 80%.
Chacaritas arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Imbabura, L 0-1 v Vargas Torres, L 0-4 @ Atlético Vinotinto, D 0-0 @ Cumbayá.
Atlético Vinotinto are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v 22 de Julio, D 0-0 @ Cumbayá, W 4-0 v Chacaritas, D 1-1 v Imbabura.
Atlético Vinotinto hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Atlético Vinotinto 4-0 Chacaritas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
