Gualaceo SC v Leones del Norte: the model read
Gualaceo SC meet Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro Serie B regular season - 3 at Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% GUA, 38% draw, 30% LEO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors Leones del Norte on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 15%, over 2.5 goals around 8%. Draw no bet leans Gualaceo SC at 51%; double chance reads Gualaceo SC or draw 70%, Leones del Norte or draw 68%.
Gualaceo SC arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Macara, D 0-0 @ El Nacional, L 0-1 v 22 de Julio, D 0-0 @ 9 de Octubre.
Leones del Norte are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Delfin SC, D 1-1 v Guayaquil City FC, W 1-0 @ LDU de Quito, D 1-1 v Deportivo Cuenca.
Gualaceo SC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gualaceo SC 2-3 Leones del Norte.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
