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Serie B · Regular Season - 38 · Brazil

Amazonas v Coritiba

1-2Full time· Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus· Referee: Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes, Brazil

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Amazonas v Coritiba: the model read

Amazonas meet Coritiba in the Serie B regular season - 38 at Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus. The model makes Coritiba the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% AMA, 31% draw, 35% COR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Coritiba on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Coritiba at 50%; double chance reads Amazonas or draw 65%, Coritiba or draw 66%.

Amazonas arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Inter De Limeira, L 0-2 v AO Itabaiana, L 0-3 @ Volta Redonda, D 1-1 @ Barra.

Coritiba are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Palmeiras, L 0-3 @ Flamengo, W 3-2 v Bahia, W 3-0 @ Santos.

Coritiba hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Amazonas 1-2 Coritiba.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Amazonas

WDLLL7-3-10

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • LAInter De Limeira0-1
  • LHAO Itabaiana0-2
  • LAVolta Redonda0-3
  • DABarra1-1
  • WHAnápolis1-0

Coritiba

LWWLL6-7-7

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LHPalmeiras1-3
  • LAFlamengo0-3
  • WHBahia3-2
  • WASantos3-0
  • LHSantos0-2

Head-to-head

4 meetings

AmazonasrecordCoritiba
1
2
1 draw

Goals

4-6

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Amazonas

Recent
LDLW
Wins 1Goals 4-6

Biggest win 1-0

Coritiba

Recent
WDWL
Wins 2Goals 6-4

Biggest win 3-1

  • Amazonas1-2Coritiba
  • Coritiba1-1Amazonas
  • Coritiba3-1Amazonas
  • Amazonas1-0Coritiba

Managers

Guilherme Alves

Brazil · 51

In charge since 2025 · 12 clubs managed

  • Velo Clube2024–2025
  • Água Santa2024–2024
  • Velo Clube2024–2024
  • Marília2022–2023

Robson Gomes

Brazil · 53

In charge since 2017

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.