Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Goianiense: the model read
Chapecoense-sc meet Atletico Goianiense in the Serie B regular season - 38 at Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina. The model makes Atletico Goianiense the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% CHA, 33% draw, 39% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Atletico Goianiense, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors Chapecoense-sc on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Atletico Goianiense at 59%; double chance reads Chapecoense-sc or draw 61%, Atletico Goianiense or draw 72%.
Chapecoense-sc arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Flamengo, L 0-2 @ Bahia, W 2-1 @ Gremio, W 3-0 v Avai.
Atletico Goianiense are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Athletic Club, W 1-0 v Fortaleza EC, L 0-3 @ Novorizontino, W 2-0 v Ponte Preta.
Atletico Goianiense hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Chapecoense-sc 1-0 Atletico Goianiense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
