Chapecoense-sc v America Mineiro: the model read
Chapecoense-sc meet America Mineiro in the Serie B regular season - 36 at Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina. The model makes Chapecoense-sc the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CHA, 31% draw, 32% AME.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chapecoense-sc, 38% against 28%. Attacking output favors Chapecoense-sc on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Chapecoense-sc at 53%; double chance reads Chapecoense-sc or draw 68%, America Mineiro or draw 63%.
Chapecoense-sc arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Flamengo, L 0-2 @ Bahia, W 2-1 @ Gremio, W 3-0 v Avai.
America Mineiro are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Avai, D 1-1 v Ceara, D 1-1 v Londrina, L 0-1 @ Cuiaba.
Chapecoense-sc hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chapecoense-sc 2-1 America Mineiro.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
