Amazonas v Novorizontino: the model read
Amazonas meet Novorizontino in the Serie B regular season - 33 at Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus. The model makes Novorizontino the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% AMA, 31% draw, 40% NOV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Novorizontino, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Novorizontino on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Novorizontino at 57%; double chance reads Amazonas or draw 60%, Novorizontino or draw 71%.
Amazonas arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Inter De Limeira, L 0-2 v AO Itabaiana, L 0-3 @ Volta Redonda, D 1-1 @ Barra.
Novorizontino are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Criciuma, L 0-1 @ Fortaleza EC, L 1-2 @ Operario-PR, W 3-0 v Atletico Goianiense.
Amazonas hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Amazonas 0-0 Novorizontino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
