Amazonas v Chapecoense-sc: the model read
Amazonas meet Chapecoense-sc in the Serie B regular season - 29 at Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus. The model makes Amazonas the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% AMA, 31% draw, 32% CHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 38%. Attacking output favors Amazonas on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Amazonas at 54%; double chance reads Amazonas or draw 68%, Chapecoense-sc or draw 63%.
Amazonas arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Inter De Limeira, L 0-2 v AO Itabaiana, L 0-3 @ Volta Redonda, D 1-1 @ Barra.
Chapecoense-sc are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Flamengo, L 0-2 @ Bahia, W 2-1 @ Gremio, W 3-0 v Avai.
Chapecoense-sc hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Amazonas 1-3 Chapecoense-sc.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
