Toledo v Foz Do Iguacu: the model read
Toledo meet Foz Do Iguacu in the Paranaense - 2 1st phase - 3 at Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo, Paraná. The model makes Foz Do Iguacu the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 23% TOL, 28% draw, 50% FOZ.
Foz Do Iguacu rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1408. Recent form leans Foz Do Iguacu, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Foz Do Iguacu on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Foz Do Iguacu at 69%; double chance reads Toledo or draw 50%, Foz Do Iguacu or draw 77%.
Toledo arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 @ Parana, L 0-2 v Parana, W 1-0 @ Paranavaí, D 0-0 v Rio Branco PR.
Foz Do Iguacu are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Atletico Paranaense, L 0-5 @ Atletico Paranaense, D 1-1 @ Operario-PR, W 3-2 v Cianorte.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2025: Toledo 0-0 Foz Do Iguacu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
