Esteghlal FC v Havadar: the model read
Esteghlal FC meet Havadar in the Persian Gulf Pro League regular season - 22 at Azadi Stadium, Teheran. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 31% EST, 38% draw, 31% HAV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1582 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 62% against 61%. Attacking output favors Esteghlal FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 16%, over 2.5 goals around 8%. Draw no bet leans Havadar at 50%; double chance reads Esteghlal FC or draw 69%, Havadar or draw 69%.
Esteghlal FC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fajr Sepasi, W 1-0 @ Mes Rafsanjan, L 2-3 @ Al Hussein, L 0-1 v Al Hussein.
Havadar are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Naft Gachsaran, W 2-0 @ Nassaji Mazandaran, W 4-1 v Damash Gilanian, W 1-0 @ Be'sat Kermanshah.
Esteghlal FC hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Esteghlal FC 2-2 Havadar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
