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Segunda División · Regular Season - 25 · Chile

D. Melipilla v Real San Joaquín

1-1Full time· Estadio Soinca Bata, Melipilla

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Match analysisPre-match brief

D. Melipilla v Real San Joaquín: the model read

D. Melipilla meet Real San Joaquín in the Segunda División regular season - 25 at Estadio Soinca Bata, Melipilla. The model makes D. Melipilla the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% D. , 28% draw, 26% REA.

D. Melipilla rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1454. Recent form leans D. Melipilla, 65% against 43%. Attacking output favors D. Melipilla on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans D. Melipilla at 64%; double chance reads D. Melipilla or draw 74%, Real San Joaquín or draw 54%.

D. Melipilla arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 @ Santiago City, D 1-1 v Real San Joaquín, W 4-2 @ Trasandino, L 0-1 v San Antonio Unido.

Real San Joaquín are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Colina, L 1-2 v Trasandino, D 0-0 @ Municipal Salamanca, W 6-1 @ Provincial Ovalle.

D. Melipilla hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: D. Melipilla 1-1 Real San Joaquín.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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D. Melipilla

DLWDW11-4-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WASantiago City4-3
  • DHReal San Joaquín1-1
  • WATrasandino4-2
  • LHSan Antonio Unido0-1
  • DAMunicipal Salamanca2-2

Real San Joaquín

LWDLL6-5-9

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LAColina1-5
  • LHTrasandino1-2
  • DAMunicipal Salamanca0-0
  • WAProvincial Ovalle6-1
  • LHConcón National0-1

Head-to-head

6 meetings

D. MelipillarecordReal San Joaquín
3
0
3 draws

Goals

6-3

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

17%

3+ goals

D. Melipilla

Recent
DWDDWW
Wins 3Goals 6-3

Biggest win 1-0

Real San Joaquín

Recent
DLDDLL
Wins 0Goals 3-6
  • D. Melipilla1-1Real San Joaquín
  • Real San Joaquín0-1D. Melipilla
  • D. Melipilla0-0Real San Joaquín
  • Real San Joaquín1-1D. Melipilla
  • Real San Joaquín0-1D. Melipilla
  • D. Melipilla2-1Real San Joaquín

Managers

R. Córdova

Chile · 58

In charge since 2021

J. Lizama

Chile · 61

In charge since 2020

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.