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Segunda División · Regular Season - 14 · Chile

D. Melipilla v Provincial Osorno

3-0Full time· Estadio Soinca Bata, Melipilla· Referee: Matías Quila

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Match analysisPre-match brief

D. Melipilla v Provincial Osorno: the model read

D. Melipilla meet Provincial Osorno in the Segunda División regular season - 14 at Estadio Soinca Bata, Melipilla. The model makes D. Melipilla the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% D. , 30% draw, 34% PRO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 63%. Attacking output favors D. Melipilla on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans D. Melipilla at 51%; double chance reads D. Melipilla or draw 66%, Provincial Osorno or draw 64%.

D. Melipilla arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 @ Santiago City, D 1-1 v Real San Joaquín, W 4-2 @ Trasandino, L 0-1 v San Antonio Unido.

Provincial Osorno are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Lota Schwager, W 3-0 v General Velásquez, D 0-0 @ Colchagua, D 1-1 v Linares Unido.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

D. Melipilla

DLWDW11-4-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WASantiago City4-3
  • DHReal San Joaquín1-1
  • WATrasandino4-2
  • LHSan Antonio Unido0-1
  • DAMunicipal Salamanca2-2

Provincial Osorno

DDDWD7-10-2

Scored 1.53 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 52.6%

  • DALota Schwager2-2
  • WHGeneral Velásquez3-0
  • DAColchagua0-0
  • DHLinares Unido1-1
  • DASantiago Morning0-0

Managers

R. Córdova

Chile · 58

In charge since 2021

Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.