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Leagues Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

Charlotte v FC Juarez

1-4Full time· Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina· Referee: Natalie Simon

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Charlotte v FC Juarez: the model read

Charlotte meet FC Juarez in the Leagues Cup group stage - 1 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina.

The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Charlotte, 55% against 42%. Attacking output favors Charlotte on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Charlotte at 63%; double chance reads Charlotte or draw 73%, FC Juarez or draw 54%.

Charlotte arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v DC United, D 3-3 @ Toronto FC, W 3-1 v Columbus Crew, L 0-1 v CF Pachuca.

FC Juarez are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Club America, L 1-6 @ Monterrey, L 0-3 @ Real Salt Lake, W 3-1 @ Vancouver Whitecaps.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Charlotte

WLWDW9-3-7

Scored 1.89 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WHDC United3-1
  • DAToronto FC3-3
  • WHColumbus Crew3-1
  • LHCF Pachuca0-1
  • WHAtlas2-0

FC Juarez

WWLLL6-4-9

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.95 · Clean sheets 5.3% · BTTS 78.9%

  • LHClub America1-2
  • LAMonterrey1-6
  • LAReal Salt Lake0-3
  • WAVancouver Whitecaps3-1
  • WAMinnesota United FC2-1

Managers

D. Smith

England · 54

In charge since 2023 · 6 clubs managed

  • Leicester City2023–2023
  • Norwich City2021–2022
  • Aston Villa2018–2021
  • Brentford2015–2018

Pedro Caixinha

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.