Where the market is wrong on Kosovo U21 v Cyprus U21
Kosovo U21 meet Cyprus U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification group stage - 21 at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kosovo U21, 43% against 18%. Attacking output favors Kosovo U21 on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Kosovo U21 arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cyprus U21, W 3-0 @ San Marino U21, L 0-3 v Italy U18, L 1-3 @ Albania U21.
Cyprus U21 are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Kosovo U21, L 0-3 v Romania U21, D 1-1 @ Montenegro U21, L 0-3 @ Finland U21.
The market prices KOS at 74% implied. Our number sits apart on Cyprus U21: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
