Pouso Alegre v Atletico Paranaense: the model read
Pouso Alegre meet Atletico Paranaense in the Copa Do Brasil 1st round at Estádio Municipal Irmão Gino Maria Rossi, Pouso Alegre, Minas Gerais. The model makes Atletico Paranaense the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 29% POU, 32% draw, 39% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Atletico Paranaense, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Atletico Paranaense on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Atletico Paranaense at 58%; double chance reads Pouso Alegre or draw 61%, Atletico Paranaense or draw 71%.
Pouso Alegre arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Madureira, L 1-2 v Portuguesa, L 0-2 @ Água Santa, L 0-2 v Portuguesa RJ.
Atletico Paranaense are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ RB Bragantino, L 0-1 @ Boca Juniors, W 1-0 v Mirassol, W 2-1 @ Remo.
Atletico Paranaense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Pouso Alegre 0-2 Atletico Paranaense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
