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Primera B · Regular Season - 29 · Chile

Deportes Santa Cruz v San Marcos de Arica

1-0Full time· Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Deportes Santa Cruz v San Marcos de Arica: the model read

Deportes Santa Cruz meet San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B regular season - 29 at Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz. The model makes San Marcos de Arica the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% DEP, 31% draw, 41% SAN.

San Marcos de Arica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1528 to 1407. Recent form leans San Marcos de Arica, 55% against 37%. Attacking output favors Deportes Santa Cruz on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans San Marcos de Arica at 59%; double chance reads Deportes Santa Cruz or draw 59%, San Marcos de Arica or draw 71%.

Deportes Santa Cruz arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Cobreloa, L 2-3 @ Palestino, W 2-1 v A. Italiano, D 0-0 v Palestino.

San Marcos de Arica are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Magallanes, L 1-4 @ Deportes Limache, L 0-1 v Coquimbo Unido, L 1-3 v Deportes Limache.

Deportes Santa Cruz hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Marcos de Arica 1-1 Deportes Santa Cruz.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Deportes Santa Cruz

WDWLL4-6-9

Scored 1.32 · Conceded 1.74 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LACobreloa2-4
  • LAPalestino2-3
  • WHA. Italiano2-1
  • DHPalestino0-0
  • WAA. Italiano1-0

San Marcos de Arica

LLLLW7-7-5

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 47.4%

  • WHMagallanes2-0
  • LADeportes Limache1-4
  • LHCoquimbo Unido0-1
  • LHDeportes Limache1-3
  • LASan Luis0-1

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Deportes Santa CruzrecordSan Marcos de Arica
5
2
2 draws

Goals

13-9

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

44%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Deportes Santa Cruz

Recent
DWLWWL
Wins 5Goals 13-9

Biggest win 2-0

San Marcos de Arica

Recent
DLWLLW
Wins 2Goals 9-13

Biggest win 2-1

  • San Marcos de Arica1-1Deportes Santa Cruz
  • Deportes Santa Cruz1-0San Marcos de Arica
  • San Marcos de Arica2-1Deportes Santa Cruz
  • Deportes Santa Cruz1-0San Marcos de Arica
  • San Marcos de Arica3-4Deportes Santa Cruz
  • San Marcos de Arica3-2Deportes Santa Cruz
  • Deportes Santa Cruz1-0San Marcos de Arica
  • San Marcos de Arica0-0Deportes Santa Cruz
  • Deportes Santa Cruz2-0San Marcos de Arica

Managers

J. Armijo

Chile · 44

In charge since 2025 · 5 clubs managed

  • Deportes Antofagasta2023–2024
  • Barnechea2021–2022
  • Melipilla2020–2021
  • O'Higgins2017–2017

G. Cavalieri

Argentina · 48

In charge since 2024 · 9 clubs managed

  • Rangers2023–2023
  • Unión San Felipe2023–2023
  • Comunicaciones2021–2022
  • Deportes Valdivia2021–2021

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.