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Africa Cup of Nations · Group Stage - 3 · World

Mozambique v Cameroon

1-2Full time· Stade Adrar, Agadir· Referee: Jalal Jayed, Morocco

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mozambique v Cameroon: the model read

Mozambique meet Cameroon in the Africa Cup of Nations group stage - 3 at Stade Adrar, Agadir.

Cameroon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Cameroon, 63% against 32%. Attacking output favors Cameroon on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.

Mozambique arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Indonesia, L 1-4 @ Oman, L 0-4 @ Nigeria, L 1-2 v Cameroon.

Cameroon are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ China, L 0-1 @ Australia, L 0-2 v Morocco, W 2-1 @ South Africa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mozambique

WLLLL5-2-12

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.95 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LAIndonesia0-1
  • LAOman1-4
  • LANigeria0-4
  • LHCameroon1-2
  • WAGabon3-2

Cameroon

WWLLW10-5-5

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 0.65 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 35%

  • WAChina2-0
  • LAAustralia0-1
  • LHMorocco0-2
  • WASouth Africa2-1
  • WAMozambique2-1

Managers

Victor Matine

Mozambique · 59

In charge since 2023

M. Brys

Belgium · 63

In charge since 2024 · 8 teams managed

  • OH Leuven2020–2023
  • Sint-Truiden2018–2019
  • Beerschot2016–2018
  • Al Raed2014–2015

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.