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Africa Cup of Nations · Group Stage - 3 · World

Equatorial Guinea v Algeria

1-3Full time· Moulay Hassan Stadium, Rabat· Referee: Pacifique Ndabihawenimana, Burundi

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Equatorial Guinea v Algeria: the model read

Equatorial Guinea meet Algeria in the Africa Cup of Nations group stage - 3 at Moulay Hassan Stadium, Rabat.

Algeria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1407. Recent form leans Algeria, 75% against 36%. Attacking output favors Algeria on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.8 per match.

Equatorial Guinea arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Comoros, D 1-1 v Madagascar, W 1-0 @ Kyrgyzstan, L 1-3 v Algeria.

Algeria are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Switzerland, D 3-3 v Austria, W 2-1 @ Jordan, L 0-3 @ Argentina.

Algeria hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Equatorial Guinea 1-3 Algeria.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Equatorial Guinea

LLWDL4-5-9

Scored 0.83 · Conceded 1.28 · Clean sheets 22.2% · BTTS 50%

  • LHComoros0-1
  • DHMadagascar1-1
  • WAKyrgyzstan1-0
  • LHAlgeria1-3
  • LHSudan0-1

Algeria

WLWDL13-4-3

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • LASwitzerland0-2
  • DHAustria3-3
  • WAJordan2-1
  • LAArgentina0-3
  • WABolivia4-0

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Equatorial GuinearecordAlgeria
1
2
1 draw

Goals

2-5

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Equatorial Guinea

Recent
LDLW
Wins 1Goals 2-5

Biggest win 1-0

Algeria

Recent
WDWL
Wins 2Goals 5-2

Biggest win 3-1

  • Equatorial Guinea1-3Algeria
  • Equatorial Guinea0-0Algeria
  • Algeria2-0Equatorial Guinea
  • Algeria0-1Equatorial Guinea

Managers

Casto Nopo

Equatorial Guinea · 52

In charge since 2019

V. Petković

Bosnia and Herzegovina · 62

In charge since 2024 · 10 teams managed

  • Bordeaux2021–2022
  • Switzerland2014–2021
  • Lazio2012–2014
  • Sion2012–2012

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.