Skip to content
Africa Cup of Nations · Group Stage - 3 · World

Uganda v Nigeria

1-3Full time· Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès· Referee: Djindo Louis Houngnandande, Benin

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Uganda v Nigeria: the model read

Uganda meet Nigeria in the Africa Cup of Nations group stage - 3 at Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès.

The baseline ratings are close, 1563 to 1662, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nigeria, 74% against 56%. Attacking output favors Nigeria on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.

Uganda arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Nigeria, D 1-1 v Tanzania, L 1-3 @ Tunisia, L 0-4 @ Morocco.

Nigeria are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Portugal, D 2-2 @ Poland, W 3-0 @ Jamaica, W 2-0 v Zimbabwe.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Your call

Predict the result and score. The crowd split feeds the Lemeister human-network signal.

Be the first to call this one.

Sign in to lock in your prediction. Sign in

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Uganda

WLLDL8-2-6

Scored 1.56 · Conceded 1.44 · Clean sheets 31.3% · BTTS 50%

  • LHNigeria1-3
  • DHTanzania1-1
  • LATunisia1-3
  • LAMorocco0-4
  • WHChad2-1

Nigeria

DWWDL11-6-2

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.89 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LAPortugal1-2
  • DAPoland2-2
  • WAJamaica3-0
  • WHZimbabwe2-0
  • DAJordan2-2

Managers

P. Put

Belgium · 69

In charge since 2024 · 8 teams managed

  • Congo2021–2023
  • Saif2020–2021
  • Guinea2018–2019
  • USM Alger2016–2017

A. Eguavoen

Nigeria · 60

  • Nigeria2024–2024
  • Nigeria2021–2022
  • Nigeria2005–2007

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded
Share

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.