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Africa Cup of Nations · Group Stage - 3 · World

Zimbabwe v South Africa

2-3Full time· Grand Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech· Referee: Mustapha Kechaf, Morocco

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Zimbabwe v South Africa: the model read

Zimbabwe meet South Africa in the Africa Cup of Nations group stage - 3 at Grand Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech.

The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans South Africa, 55% against 39%. Attacking output favors South Africa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.

Zimbabwe arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ India, L 0-2 @ Nigeria, W 1-0 v Zambia U23, W 3-0 @ Botswana.

South Africa are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Canada, W 1-0 v South Korea, D 1-1 @ Czechia, L 0-2 @ Mexico.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Zimbabwe

LWWLW5-5-9

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 42.1%

  • WAIndia1-0
  • LANigeria0-2
  • WHZambia U231-0
  • WABotswana3-0
  • LHSouth Africa2-3

South Africa

DLDWL7-8-5

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LHCanada0-1
  • WHSouth Korea1-0
  • DACzechia1-1
  • LAMexico0-2
  • DAJamaica1-1

Managers

M. Marinică

Romania · 61

In charge since 2026 · 3 teams managed

  • Malawi2021–2023

H. Broos

Belgium · 73

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • South Africa2022–2025
  • South Africa2021–2022
  • South Africa2021–2021
  • KV Oostende2019–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.