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Copa Chile · Group Stage - 3 · Chile

D. La Serena v San Marcos de Arica

2-1Full time· Estadio La Portada de La Serena, La Serena· Referee: M. Riquelme

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Match analysisPre-match brief

D. La Serena v San Marcos de Arica: the model read

D. La Serena meet San Marcos de Arica in the Copa Chile group stage - 3 at Estadio La Portada de La Serena, La Serena.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 40%. Attacking output favors D. La Serena on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

D. La Serena arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Nublense, W 1-0 @ Union La Calera, D 3-3 v Cobresal, W 2-0 @ Universidad de Concepcion.

San Marcos de Arica are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Deportes Copiapo, L 0-2 @ Cobreloa, L 1-2 v Rangers de Talca, L 1-2 @ Union Espanola.

D. La Serena hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: San Marcos de Arica 1-0 D. La Serena.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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D. La Serena

DWDWW6-5-9

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 2.10 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHNublense2-1
  • WAUnion La Calera1-0
  • DHCobresal3-3
  • WAUniversidad de Concepcion2-0
  • DACoquimbo Unido1-1

San Marcos de Arica

LLLLW6-4-10

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • WHDeportes Copiapo2-1
  • LACobreloa0-2
  • LHRangers de Talca1-2
  • LAUnion Espanola1-2
  • LHUnion San Felipe0-1

Head-to-head

7 meetings

D. La SerenarecordSan Marcos de Arica
3
2
2 draws

Goals

11-8

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

86%

both scored

Over 2.5

57%

3+ goals

D. La Serena

Recent
LWDWDL
Wins 3Goals 11-8

Biggest win 4-1

San Marcos de Arica

Recent
WLDLDW
Wins 2Goals 8-11

Biggest win 1-0

  • San Marcos de Arica1-0D. La Serena
  • D. La Serena2-1San Marcos de Arica
  • San Marcos de Arica1-1D. La Serena
  • D. La Serena2-1San Marcos de Arica
  • D. La Serena1-1San Marcos de Arica
  • San Marcos de Arica2-1D. La Serena
  • D. La Serena4-1San Marcos de Arica

Managers

Francisco Bozan

Head coach

In charge since 2026

German Cavalieri

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.