El Nacional v Macara: the model read
El Nacional meet Macara in the Liga Pro regular season - 28 at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito. The model makes Macara the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 22% EL , 30% draw, 48% MAC.
Macara rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Macara, 63% against 18%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Macara at 68%; double chance reads El Nacional or draw 52%, Macara or draw 78%.
El Nacional arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Gualaceo SC, L 1-2 @ Cuniburo, L 0-1 v Cumbayá, L 0-3 @ Atletico FC.
Macara are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gualaceo SC, W 4-1 @ Aucas, W 3-0 v Deportivo Cuenca, L 1-2 @ Delfin SC.
Macara hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Macara 2-0 El Nacional.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output