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Paraense · 1st Phase - 6 · Brazil

Águia de Marabá v Caeté

1-0Full time· Estádio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá, Pará

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Águia de Marabá v Caeté: the model read

Águia de Marabá meet Caeté in the Paraense 1st phase - 6 at Estádio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá, Pará. The model makes Águia de Marabá the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% ÁGU, 28% draw, 24% CAE.

Águia de Marabá rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Águia de Marabá, 65% against 28%. Attacking output favors Águia de Marabá on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Águia de Marabá at 67%; double chance reads Águia de Marabá or draw 76%, Caeté or draw 52%.

Águia de Marabá arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ ABC, W 2-1 v ABC, W 2-0 v Parnahyba, L 1-2 @ Parnahyba.

Caeté are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Tuna Luso, L 0-1 v Santa Rosa, L 0-1 @ Águia de Marabá, L 0-1 v Capitao Poco.

Águia de Marabá hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Águia de Marabá 1-0 Caeté.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Águia de Marabá

LLWWL11-4-5

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LAABC0-3
  • WHABC2-1
  • WHParnahyba2-0
  • LAParnahyba1-2
  • LATrem0-2

Caeté

WLLLL4-3-13

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 45%

  • LATuna Luso1-2
  • LHSanta Rosa0-1
  • LAÁguia de Marabá0-1
  • LHCapitao Poco0-1
  • WHIndependente PA3-0

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Águia de MarabárecordCaeté
5
1
0 draws

Goals

9-3

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

17%

both scored

Over 2.5

17%

3+ goals

Águia de Marabá

Recent
WWWWWL
Wins 5Goals 9-3

Biggest win 2-0

Caeté

Recent
LLLLLW
Wins 1Goals 3-9

Biggest win 3-1

  • Águia de Marabá1-0Caeté
  • Caeté0-2Águia de Marabá
  • Águia de Marabá2-0Caeté
  • Águia de Marabá1-0Caeté
  • Águia de Marabá2-0Caeté
  • Caeté3-1Águia de Marabá

Managers

Silvio Criciúma

Brazil · 54

In charge since 2024 · 17 clubs managed

  • Morrinhos2023–2024
  • Goianésia2022–2023
  • Salgueiro2022–2022
  • Paraná2021–2021
Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.