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J-League Cup · 1st Round · Japan

Nara Club v FC Tokyo

0-1Full time· Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara, Nara Prefecture· Referee: Y. Imamura

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Nara Club v FC Tokyo: the model read

Nara Club meet FC Tokyo in the J-League Cup 1st round at Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara, Nara Prefecture. The model makes FC Tokyo the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 27% NAR, 28% draw, 44% FC .

FC Tokyo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1477. Recent form leans FC Tokyo, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors FC Tokyo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans FC Tokyo at 62%; double chance reads Nara Club or draw 56%, FC Tokyo or draw 73%.

Nara Club arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Matsumoto Yamaga, W 4-3 v Oita Trinita, W 5-1 v Kataller Toyama, L 1-2 @ Albirex Niigata.

FC Tokyo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Nagoya Grampus, L 1-3 v Cerezo Osaka, D 2-2 @ Cerezo Osaka, L 0-1 @ Kashima.

FC Tokyo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Nara Club 0-1 FC Tokyo.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nara Club

WLWWW7-4-9

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WAMatsumoto Yamaga2-0
  • WHOita Trinita4-3
  • WHKataller Toyama5-1
  • LAAlbirex Niigata1-2
  • WATokushima Vortis2-1

FC Tokyo

DLDLW10-6-4

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WHNagoya Grampus2-1
  • LHCerezo Osaka1-3
  • DACerezo Osaka2-2
  • LAKashima0-1
  • DAUrawa0-0

Head-to-head

1 meeting

Nara ClubrecordFC Tokyo
0
1
0 draws

Goals

0-1

for each

Avg goals

1.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Nara Club

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-1

FC Tokyo

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

  • Nara Club0-1FC Tokyo

Managers

I. Nakata

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 2 clubs managed

  • Kyoto Sanga2019–2019

P. Cklamovski

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 4 clubs managed

  • Malaysia2023–2026
  • Montedio Yamagata2021–2023
  • Shimizu S-pulse2020–2020

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.