Baraúnas v Laguna: the model read
Baraúnas meet Laguna in the Potiguar 1st phase - 7 at Estádio Edgar Borges Montenegro, Assú, Rio Grande do Norte. The model makes Baraúnas the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% BAR, 30% draw, 24% LAG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Baraúnas, 48% against 18%. Attacking output favors Baraúnas on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Baraúnas at 66%; double chance reads Baraúnas or draw 76%, Laguna or draw 53%.
Baraúnas arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ QFC, L 0-1 @ Potyguar, W 3-1 v Mossoró EC, W 1-0 v Potyguar.
Laguna are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Central SC, L 0-2 v ABC, D 1-1 v Maguary PE, L 0-5 @ America-RN.
Laguna hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Baraúnas 1-2 Laguna.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
