Rhode Island v Portland Hearts of Pine: the model read
Rhode Island meet Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One Cup group stage - 5 at Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, Rhode Island.
Rhode Island rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1408. Recent form leans Rhode Island, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Rhode Island on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Rhode Island at 65%; double chance reads Rhode Island or draw 75%, Portland Hearts of Pine or draw 53%.
Rhode Island arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Monterey Bay, L 0-2 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies, W 2-0 v Colorado Springs, L 0-1 @ Birmingham Legion.
Portland Hearts of Pine are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Richmond Kickers, D 1-1 @ One Knoxville, L 1-2 v Forward Madison, L 0-2 v Corpus Christi.
Rhode Island hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1 Rhode Island.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
