Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka: the model read
Tokyo Verdy meet Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League regular season - 36 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo. The model makes Avispa Fukuoka the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% TOK, 31% draw, 35% AVI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Avispa Fukuoka on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Avispa Fukuoka at 50%; double chance reads Tokyo Verdy or draw 65%, Avispa Fukuoka or draw 66%.
Tokyo Verdy arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Gamba Osaka, D 1-1 @ Gamba Osaka, L 0-6 v Yokohama F. Marinos, W 1-0 @ Mito Hollyhock.
Avispa Fukuoka are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Osaka, L 1-2 v Kitakyushu, W 2-1 @ JEF United Chiba, D 2-2 v JEF United Chiba.
Tokyo Verdy hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tokyo Verdy 3-4 Avispa Fukuoka.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
