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J1 League · Regular Season - 35 · Japan

FC Tokyo v Fagiano Okayama

3-1Full time· Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo· Referee: Yoshimi Yamashita, Japan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Tokyo v Fagiano Okayama: the model read

FC Tokyo meet Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League regular season - 35 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Tokyo, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors FC Tokyo on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

FC Tokyo arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 14 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Kyoto Sanga, D 1-1 @ Shimizu S-pulse, W 3-0 @ V-varen Nagasaki, W 6-0 v Parceiro Nagano.

Fagiano Okayama are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, W 2-1 @ JEF United Chiba, L 1-2 @ Nagoya Grampus, W 3-0 v Beluga Rosso Iwami.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: FC Tokyo 3-1 Fagiano Okayama.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Tokyo

WWWDW10-5-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WHKyoto Sanga2-0
  • DAShimizu S-pulse1-1
  • WAV-varen Nagasaki3-0
  • WHParceiro Nagano6-0
  • WHJEF United Chiba2-0

Fagiano Okayama

DWLWW9-3-8

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • WHSanfrecce Hiroshima3-2
  • WAJEF United Chiba2-1
  • LANagoya Grampus1-2
  • WHBeluga Rosso Iwami3-0
  • DHTokyo Verdy0-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

FC TokyorecordFagiano Okayama
1
1
0 draws

Goals

3-2

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

FC Tokyo

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 3-1

Fagiano Okayama

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 2-3

Biggest win 1-0

  • FC Tokyo3-1Fagiano Okayama
  • Fagiano Okayama1-0FC Tokyo

Managers

R. Matsuhashi

Japan · 57

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • Albirex Niigata2022–2024

Takashi Kiyama

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.