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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 10 · World

Bulgaria v Georgia

2-1Full time· National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia· Referee: J. Kehlet

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bulgaria v Georgia: the model read

Bulgaria meet Georgia in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 10 at National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Georgia, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Georgia on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Bulgaria arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Moldova, L 0-1 v Montenegro, W 1-0 @ Indonesia, W 10-2 @ Solomon Islands.

Georgia are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Bahrain, D 1-1 v Romania, W 2-0 @ Lithuania, D 2-2 v Israel.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bulgaria 2-1 Georgia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bulgaria

WWWLD5-5-10

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

  • DAMoldova2-2
  • LHMontenegro0-1
  • WAIndonesia1-0
  • WASolomon Islands10-2
  • WHGeorgia2-1

Georgia

LDWDW8-4-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHBahrain2-0
  • DHRomania1-1
  • WALithuania2-0
  • DHIsrael2-2
  • LABulgaria1-2

Head-to-head

5 meetings

BulgariarecordGeorgia
2
2
1 draw

Goals

8-10

for each

Avg goals

3.6

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Bulgaria

Recent
WLDLW
Wins 2Goals 8-10

Biggest win 4-1

Georgia

Recent
LWDWL
Wins 2Goals 10-8

Biggest win 3-0

  • Bulgaria2-1Georgia
  • Georgia3-0Bulgaria
  • Georgia0-0Bulgaria
  • Bulgaria2-5Georgia
  • Bulgaria4-1Georgia

Managers

I. Iliev

Bulgaria · 57

In charge since 2023 · 8 teams managed

  • Cherno More Varna2018–2023
  • Vereya2017–2017
  • Altay VKO2017–2017
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv2016–2016

Zurab Khizanishvili

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.