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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 10 · World

Serbia v Latvia

2-1Full time· Stadion Dubočica, Leskovac· Referee: R. De Burgos

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Serbia v Latvia: the model read

Serbia meet Latvia in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 10 at Stadion Dubočica, Leskovac.

The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Serbia, 47% against 35%. Attacking output favors Serbia on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.

Serbia arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Mexico, L 0-3 @ Cape Verde Islands, W 2-1 v Saudi Arabia, L 0-3 @ Spain.

Latvia are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Faroe Islands, D 1-1 @ Lithuania, W 1-0 v Gibraltar, W 1-0 @ Gibraltar.

Serbia hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Serbia 2-1 Latvia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Serbia

WLWLL7-4-8

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LAMexico1-5
  • LACape Verde Islands0-3
  • WHSaudi Arabia2-1
  • LASpain0-3
  • WHLatvia2-1

Latvia

LWWDL4-6-10

Scored 0.60 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • LHFaroe Islands0-1
  • DALithuania1-1
  • WHGibraltar1-0
  • WAGibraltar1-0
  • LASerbia1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

SerbiarecordLatvia
2
0
0 draws

Goals

3-1

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Serbia

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 3-1

Biggest win 2-1

Latvia

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-3
  • Serbia2-1Latvia
  • Latvia0-1Serbia

Managers

D. Stojković

Serbia · 60

In charge since 2021 · 4 teams managed

  • Guangzhou City2015–2020
  • Al Shamal2015–2015
  • Nagoya Grampus2012–2013
  • Nagoya Grampus2008–2012

P. Nicolato

Italy · 59

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Italy U212019–2023
  • Italy U202019–2019
  • Italy U192017–2018
  • Lumezzane2015–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.