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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 9 · World

Greece v Scotland

3-2Full time· Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus· Referee: J. Manzano

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Greece v Scotland: the model read

Greece meet Scotland in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 9 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Greece on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.

Greece arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Italy, D 2-2 @ Sweden, D 0-0 @ Hungary, L 0-1 v Paraguay.

Scotland are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Brazil, L 0-1 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Haiti, W 4-0 @ Bolivia.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Greece 3-2 Scotland.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Greece

DLDDL10-3-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • LHItaly0-1
  • DASweden2-2
  • DAHungary0-0
  • LHParaguay0-1
  • DABelarus0-0

Scotland

WWWLL11-2-7

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • LHBrazil0-3
  • LHMorocco0-1
  • WAHaiti1-0
  • WABolivia4-0
  • WHCuraçao4-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

GreecerecordScotland
2
2
0 draws

Goals

7-6

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

75%

3+ goals

Greece

Recent
WLWL
Wins 2Goals 7-6

Biggest win 3-0

Scotland

Recent
LWLW
Wins 2Goals 6-7

Biggest win 3-1

  • Greece3-2Scotland
  • Scotland3-1Greece
  • Scotland0-3Greece
  • Greece0-1Scotland

Managers

I. Jovanović

Serbia · 63

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Panathinaikos2021–2023
  • Al Nasr2018–2018
  • Al Nasr2013–2016
  • APOEL2008–2013

S. Clarke

Scotland · 62

In charge since 2019 · 5 teams managed

  • Kilmarnock2017–2019
  • Aston Villa2016–2016
  • Reading2014–2015
  • West Bromwich Albion2012–2013

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.