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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 9 · World

Norway v Estonia

4-1Full time· Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo· Referee: M. Jug

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Norway v Estonia: the model read

Norway meet Estonia in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 9 at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo.

Norway rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1408. Recent form leans Norway, 78% against 35%. Attacking output favors Norway on expected goals, 2.9 to 0.9 per match.

Norway arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v England, W 2-1 @ Brazil, W 2-1 @ Ivory Coast, L 1-4 v France.

Estonia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lithuania, W 1-0 v Faroe Islands, L 0-2 @ Rwanda, D 1-1 @ Kenya.

Norway hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Norway 4-1 Estonia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Norway

WLWWL14-3-3

Scored 2.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 70%

  • LHEngland1-2
  • WABrazil2-1
  • WAIvory Coast2-1
  • LHFrance1-4
  • WHSenegal3-2

Estonia

WDLWW5-4-11

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 45%

  • WHLithuania1-0
  • WHFaroe Islands1-0
  • LARwanda0-2
  • DAKenya1-1
  • WACyprus4-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

NorwayrecordEstonia
2
0
0 draws

Goals

5-1

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Norway

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 5-1

Biggest win 4-1

Estonia

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-5
  • Norway4-1Estonia
  • Estonia0-1Norway

Managers

S. Solbakken

Norway · 57

In charge since 2021 · 5 teams managed

  • FC Copenhagen2013–2020
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2012–2013
  • FC Cologne2011–2012
  • FC Copenhagen2006–2011

J. Henn

Estonia · 38

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Flora2018–2023
  • Flora2016–2016
  • Flora II2014–2015
  • Flora II2011–2011

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.