Penapolense v Gremio Osasco Audax: the model read
Penapolense meet Gremio Osasco Audax in the Paulista - A4 1st phase - 12 at Estádio Municipal Tenente Carriço, Penápolis, São Paulo. The model makes Penapolense the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% PEN, 30% draw, 26% GRE.
Penapolense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1443. Recent form leans Penapolense, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Penapolense on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Penapolense at 63%; double chance reads Penapolense or draw 74%, Gremio Osasco Audax or draw 56%.
Penapolense arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Inter de Bebedouro, W 2-1 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 2-2 @ São Caetano, W 2-1 v São Caetano.
Gremio Osasco Audax are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Flamengo SP, D 0-0 v Flamengo SP, L 0-1 v Flamengo SP, L 0-1 @ Sporting Paulinense.
Penapolense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Penapolense 2-2 Gremio Osasco Audax.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
