Penapolense v Colorado Caieiras: the model read
Penapolense meet Colorado Caieiras in the Paulista - A4 1st phase - 6 at Estádio Municipal Tenente Carriço, Penápolis, São Paulo. The model makes Penapolense the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% PEN, 32% draw, 21% COL.
Penapolense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Penapolense, 68% against 33%. Attacking output favors Penapolense on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Penapolense at 70%; double chance reads Penapolense or draw 79%, Colorado Caieiras or draw 52%.
Penapolense arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Inter de Bebedouro, W 2-1 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 2-2 @ São Caetano, W 2-1 v São Caetano.
Colorado Caieiras are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Penapolense, D 0-0 @ Tanabi, L 0-4 v São Caetano, L 1-4 @ Nacional SP.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Colorado Caieiras 0-0 Penapolense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output