Penapolense v Uniao Barbarense: the model read
Penapolense meet Uniao Barbarense in the Paulista - A4 1st phase - 1 at Estádio Municipal Tenente Carriço, Penápolis, São Paulo. The model makes Penapolense the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% PEN, 33% draw, 31% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 63%. Attacking output favors Penapolense on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Penapolense at 54%; double chance reads Penapolense or draw 69%, Uniao Barbarense or draw 64%.
Penapolense arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Inter de Bebedouro, W 2-1 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 2-2 @ São Caetano, W 2-1 v São Caetano.
Uniao Barbarense are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Rio Preto, L 0-3 v Rio Preto, L 0-3 @ Portuguesa Santista, W 1-0 v Itapirense.
Uniao Barbarense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Penapolense 0-0 Uniao Barbarense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output