EC Lemense v XV de Jau: the model read
EC Lemense meet XV de Jau in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 11 at Estádio Municipal Bruno Lazzarini, Leme, São Paulo. The model makes XV de Jau the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 25% EC , 35% draw, 40% XV .
XV de Jau rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1443. Recent form leans XV de Jau, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors XV de Jau on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans XV de Jau at 61%; double chance reads EC Lemense or draw 60%, XV de Jau or draw 75%.
EC Lemense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Inter de Bebedouro, L 0-2 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 1-1 v Grêmio Sãocarlense, L 0-2 @ ECUS.
XV de Jau are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Marília, D 0-0 v Marília, W 2-0 v Rio Claro, W 1-0 @ Rio Claro.
EC Lemense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: EC Lemense 1-0 XV de Jau.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
