EC Lemense v USAC: the model read
EC Lemense meet USAC in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 3 at Estádio Municipal Bruno Lazzarini, Leme, São Paulo. The model makes EC Lemense the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% EC , 34% draw, 29% USA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans EC Lemense, 40% against 20%. Attacking output favors EC Lemense on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans EC Lemense at 56%; double chance reads EC Lemense or draw 71%, USAC or draw 63%.
EC Lemense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Inter de Bebedouro, L 0-2 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 1-1 v Grêmio Sãocarlense, L 0-2 @ ECUS.
USAC are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Rio Claro, L 1-2 v Rio Branco SP, L 0-2 @ Marília, L 0-2 v Paulista.
EC Lemense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: EC Lemense 1-1 USAC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
