Pouso Alegre v Athletic Club: the model read
Pouso Alegre meet Athletic Club in the Mineiro - 1 1st phase - 1 at Estádio Municipal Irmão Gino Maria Rossi, Pouso Alegre, Minas Gerais. The model makes Athletic Club the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% POU, 33% draw, 37% ATH.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Athletic Club, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Pouso Alegre on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Athletic Club at 55%; double chance reads Pouso Alegre or draw 63%, Athletic Club or draw 70%.
Pouso Alegre arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Madureira, L 1-2 v Portuguesa, L 0-2 @ Água Santa, L 0-2 v Portuguesa RJ.
Athletic Club are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 1 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Atletico Goianiense, D 0-0 @ Ceara, L 0-1 v Operario-PR, W 1-0 v Avai.
Athletic Club hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 2 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pouso Alegre 3-4 Athletic Club.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
