Bahia v Atlético Alagoinhas: the model read
Bahia meet Atlético Alagoinhas in the Baiano - 1 1st phase - 2 at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia. The model makes Bahia the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% BAH, 29% draw, 21% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bahia, 50% against 18%. Attacking output favors Bahia on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Bahia at 70%; double chance reads Bahia or draw 79%, Atlético Alagoinhas or draw 50%.
Bahia arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Chapecoense-sc, L 0-2 @ Fluminense, W 4-1 v Atletico Torque, W 2-1 v Botafogo.
Atlético Alagoinhas are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-7 v CSA, D 0-0 @ Juazeirense, D 0-0 @ CSE, L 0-1 v Jacuipense.
Bahia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlético Alagoinhas 2-4 Bahia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
