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Major League Soccer · MLS Cup - Round 1 · USA

Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC

· America First Field, Sandy, Utah

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC: the model read

Real Salt Lake meet Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer mls cup - round 1 at America First Field, Sandy, Utah.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Real Salt Lake on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Real Salt Lake at 53%; double chance reads Real Salt Lake or draw 67%, Minnesota United FC or draw 63%.

Real Salt Lake arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Leon, L 1-2 @ Orlando City SC, L 3-4 v FC Dallas, D 1-1 v Minnesota United FC.

Minnesota United FC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 v Atlanta United FC, D 1-1 @ Real Salt Lake, W 3-1 v Atlante FC.

Minnesota United FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 7 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Real Salt Lake

WDLLL8-4-8

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LALeon0-3
  • LAOrlando City SC1-2
  • LHFC Dallas3-4
  • DHMinnesota United FC1-1
  • WHFC Juarez3-0

Minnesota United FC

DWDLW5-7-7

Scored 1.32 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WASan Jose Earthquakes5-1
  • LHAtlanta United FC1-2
  • DAReal Salt Lake1-1
  • WHAtlante FC3-1
  • DATigres UANL0-0

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Real Salt LakerecordMinnesota United FC
0
2
7 draws

Goals

6-10

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

11%

3+ goals

Real Salt Lake

Recent
DDLLDD
Wins 0Goals 6-10

Minnesota United FC

Recent
DDWWDD
Wins 2Goals 10-6

Biggest win 3-1

  • Real Salt Lake1-1Minnesota United FC
  • Minnesota United FC1-1Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake1-3Minnesota United FC
  • Minnesota United FC2-0Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake1-1Minnesota United FC
  • Minnesota United FC1-1Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake0-0Minnesota United FC
  • Real Salt Lake0-0Minnesota United FC
  • Minnesota United FC1-1Real Salt Lake

Managers

P. Mastroeni

USA · 49

In charge since 2021 · 2 clubs managed

  • Colorado Rapids2014–2017

Cameron Knowles

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.