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Major League Soccer · MLS Cup - Round 1 · USA

Charlotte v Orlando City SC

0-0Full time· Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina· Referee: G. Gonzalez

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Charlotte v Orlando City SC: the model read

Charlotte meet Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer mls cup - round 1 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina.

The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Orlando City SC on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans Charlotte at 53%; double chance reads Charlotte or draw 66%, Orlando City SC or draw 62%.

Charlotte arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v DC United, D 3-3 @ Toronto FC, W 3-1 v Columbus Crew, L 0-1 v CF Pachuca.

Orlando City SC are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Real Salt Lake, L 1-2 v Chicago Fire, D 1-1 v FC Cincinnati, D 2-2 v Atletico San Luis.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Charlotte

WLWDW9-3-7

Scored 1.89 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WHDC United3-1
  • DAToronto FC3-3
  • WHColumbus Crew3-1
  • LHCF Pachuca0-1
  • WHAtlas2-0

Orlando City SC

LDDLW10-3-7

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • WHReal Salt Lake2-1
  • LHChicago Fire1-2
  • DHFC Cincinnati1-1
  • DHAtletico San Luis2-2
  • LHLeon1-2

Managers

D. Smith

England · 54

In charge since 2023 · 6 clubs managed

  • Leicester City2023–2023
  • Norwich City2021–2022
  • Aston Villa2018–2021
  • Brentford2015–2018

Ó. Pareja

Colombia · 57

In charge since 2019 · 4 clubs managed

  • Tijuana2018–2019
  • Dallas2014–2018
  • Colorado Rapids2012–2014

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.