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Torneo Federal A · Promotion Play-offs - 2nd Round · Argentina

Olimpo Bahia Blanca v 9 de Julio Rafaela

2-0Full time· Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti, Bahía Blanca, Provincia de Buenos Aires· Referee: J. Correa

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Olimpo Bahia Blanca v 9 de Julio Rafaela: the model read

Olimpo Bahia Blanca meet 9 de Julio Rafaela in the Torneo Federal A promotion play-offs - 2nd round at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti, Bahía Blanca, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes Olimpo Bahia Blanca the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% OLI, 33% draw, 32% 9 D.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors 9 de Julio Rafaela on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Olimpo Bahia Blanca at 52%; double chance reads Olimpo Bahia Blanca or draw 68%, 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw 66%.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Germinal de Rawson, D 0-0 v Villa Mitre, D 1-1 @ Circulo Deportivo, D 0-0 v Kimberley Mar del Plata.

9 de Julio Rafaela are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Defensores de Belgrano VR, L 0-3 @ Gimnasia Concepción, W 2-1 v Gimnasia Chivilcoy, W 3-2 v El Linqueño.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2-0 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Olimpo Bahia Blanca

DDDDW8-8-4

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 25%

  • WAGerminal de Rawson1-0
  • DHVilla Mitre0-0
  • DACirculo Deportivo1-1
  • DHKimberley Mar del Plata0-0
  • DASol de Mayo1-1

9 de Julio Rafaela

LWWLL9-4-7

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 60%

  • LHDefensores de Belgrano VR1-2
  • LAGimnasia Concepción0-3
  • WHGimnasia Chivilcoy2-1
  • WHEl Linqueño3-2
  • LAAtletico Escobar0-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Olimpo Bahia Blancarecord9 de Julio Rafaela
1
1
0 draws

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 2-0

9 de Julio Rafaela

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 3-1

  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca2-09 de Julio Rafaela
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela3-1Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Managers

M. Giganti

Argentina · 49

In charge since 2025 · 12 clubs managed

  • Alvarado2024–2024
  • Atlanta2022–2023
  • Ferro Carril Oeste LP2021–2022
  • Estudiantes Caseros2020–2021

M. Zbrun

Argentina · 39

In charge since 2024

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.