Fermana v L'Aquila: the model read
Fermana meet L'Aquila in the Serie D - Girone F group f - 22 at Stadio Bruno Recchioni, Fermo. The model makes L'Aquila the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 29% FER, 34% draw, 38% L'A.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans L'Aquila, 43% against 30%. Attacking output favors L'Aquila on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans L'Aquila at 57%; double chance reads Fermana or draw 62%, L'Aquila or draw 71%.
Fermana arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Castelfidardo Calcio, L 0-2 v Sambenedettese, L 0-2 v Civitanovese, D 1-1 @ Termoli Calcio.
L'Aquila are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Termoli Calcio, D 0-0 v Ancona, L 1-2 @ Ostia Mare, D 0-0 @ Sammaurese.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
