Albenga v Imperia: the model read
Albenga meet Imperia in the Serie D - Girone A group a - 38 at Stadio Annibale Riva, Albenga. The model makes Imperia the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 17% ALB, 30% draw, 52% IMP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Imperia, 48% against 0%. Attacking output favors Imperia on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Imperia at 75%; double chance reads Albenga or draw 48%, Imperia or draw 83%.
Albenga arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 v Vado, L 1-2 @ Derthona, L 1-2 v Asti, L 0-5 @ Saluzzo.
Imperia are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Celle Varazze, D 0-0 @ Derthona, D 2-2 v Sanremese, W 2-1 @ NovaRomentin.
Imperia hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Imperia 3-0 Albenga.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
