Saint-Lô Manche v Lorient II: the model read
Saint-Lô Manche meet Lorient II in the National 3 - Group C group c - 25 at Stade Louis Villemer, Saint-Lô. The model makes Lorient II the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 33% SAI, 29% draw, 39% LOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lorient II, 35% against 18%. Attacking output favors Saint-Lô Manche on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Lorient II at 54%; double chance reads Saint-Lô Manche or draw 61%, Lorient II or draw 67%.
Saint-Lô Manche arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Ergué-Gaberic, L 2-3 v Lorient II, L 1-4 @ Flers, L 0-1 @ Lannion.
Lorient II are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Poitiers, L 2-3 @ Angoulême, W 3-0 v Saint-Malo, D 2-2 @ Saumur.
Lorient II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Saint-Lô Manche 2-3 Lorient II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
