Stade Bordelais v Castanet: the model read
Stade Bordelais meet Castanet in the National 3 - Group A group a - 24 at Stade Sainte-Germaine, Le-Bouscat. The model makes Castanet the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 30% STA, 34% draw, 35% CAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Castanet, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Castanet on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Castanet at 54%; double chance reads Stade Bordelais or draw 65%, Castanet or draw 70%.
Stade Bordelais arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Bordeaux II, L 0-2 @ Toulouse II, L 0-2 v Castanet, D 2-2 @ Lège-Cap-Ferret.
Castanet are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Toulouse II, L 0-1 @ SAG Cestas, W 2-0 v Agde, L 1-2 @ Colomiers.
Castanet hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Stade Bordelais 0-2 Castanet.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
