Gueugnon v Montceau: the model read
Gueugnon meet Montceau in the National 3 - Group G group g - 25 at Stade Jean Laville, Gueugnon. The model makes Gueugnon the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% GUE, 33% draw, 32% MON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 25% against 30%. Attacking output favors Gueugnon on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Gueugnon at 52%; double chance reads Gueugnon or draw 68%, Montceau or draw 65%.
Gueugnon arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Louhans-Cuiseaux, W 3-1 v Montceau, D 1-1 v St Maur Lusitanos, D 1-1 @ Racing Colombes 92.
Montceau are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Montpellier, W 2-1 v L'Etrat La Tour, W 2-0 v Neuilly sur Marne, L 1-3 @ Gueugnon.
Gueugnon hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gueugnon 3-1 Montceau.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
