Skip to content
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Group D - 24 · Portugal

Amora v Lagoa

1-0Full time· Estádio da Medideira, Amora· Referee: Bruno Santos

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Amora v Lagoa: the model read

Amora meet Lagoa in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D group d - 24 at Estádio da Medideira, Amora. The model makes Lagoa the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 24% AMO, 29% draw, 47% LAG.

Lagoa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1420. Recent form leans Lagoa, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Lagoa on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Lagoa at 66%; double chance reads Amora or draw 53%, Lagoa or draw 76%.

Amora arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SC Covilha, L 1-2 v Lusitano Évora 1911, W 1-0 @ 1º Dezembro, L 1-2 v Caldas.

Lagoa are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Alcochetense, W 3-1 @ Portimonense B, W 2-0 @ Oriental Lisboa, D 0-0 v Atlético Malveira.

Amora hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Amora 1-0 Lagoa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Amora

WLWLD5-5-10

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • DASC Covilha1-1
  • LHLusitano Évora 19111-2
  • WA1º Dezembro1-0
  • LHCaldas1-2
  • WAAtlético CP2-1

Lagoa

LDWWL11-3-6

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHAlcochetense1-2
  • WAPortimonense B3-1
  • WAOriental Lisboa2-0
  • DHAtlético Malveira0-0
  • LAFC Alverca II1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

AmorarecordLagoa
1
0
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Amora

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 1-0

Lagoa

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • Amora1-0Lagoa
  • Lagoa1-1Amora

Managers

Miguel Valença

Portugal · 36

In charge since 2024 · 6 clubs managed

  • Beira-Mar2022–2024
  • Académica2022–2022
  • Real2022–2022
  • Anadia2020–2021

Roberto

Portugal · 39

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Lagos2019–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.