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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Group C - 17 · Portugal

União de Coimbra v FC Alverca II

1-4Full time· Estádio Municipal Sérgio Conceição, Coimbra· Referee: António Alves

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Match analysisPre-match brief

União de Coimbra v FC Alverca II: the model read

União de Coimbra meet FC Alverca II in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 17 at Estádio Municipal Sérgio Conceição, Coimbra. The model makes FC Alverca II the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 21% UNI, 26% draw, 53% FC .

FC Alverca II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans FC Alverca II, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors FC Alverca II on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans FC Alverca II at 72%; double chance reads União de Coimbra or draw 47%, FC Alverca II or draw 79%.

União de Coimbra arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Peniche, L 0-2 v Benfica Castelo Branco, W 1-0 @ Alcains, D 1-1 v Os Marialvas.

FC Alverca II are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Comércio Indústria, W 1-0 @ FC Serpa, L 0-1 v Alcochetense, W 4-0 v Portimonense B.

FC Alverca II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: União de Coimbra 1-4 FC Alverca II.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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União de Coimbra

DDWLW4-5-11

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • WAPeniche2-0
  • LHBenfica Castelo Branco0-2
  • WAAlcains1-0
  • DHOs Marialvas1-1
  • DAMortágua2-2

FC Alverca II

WWLWW12-2-6

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHComércio Indústria5-0
  • WAFC Serpa1-0
  • LHAlcochetense0-1
  • WHPortimonense B4-0
  • WAOriental Lisboa2-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

União de CoimbrarecordFC Alverca II
0
3
1 draw

Goals

3-8

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

75%

3+ goals

União de Coimbra

Recent
LLLD
Wins 0Goals 3-8

FC Alverca II

Recent
WWWD
Wins 3Goals 8-3

Biggest win 4-1

  • União de Coimbra1-4FC Alverca II
  • FC Alverca II2-1União de Coimbra
  • União de Coimbra1-2FC Alverca II
  • FC Alverca II0-0União de Coimbra

Managers

Filipe Salvado

Portugal · 32

In charge since 2022

Gonçalo Cruz

Portugal · 32

In charge since 2024 · 2 clubs managed

  • FC Barreirense2022–2024

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.